What If??

What if we lose to Pitt? Would a one loss UC be selected for an at-large BCS bid? The consensus seems to be PSU or Iowa would be in over us. Some interesting facts to chew on as you argue with your B10 friends:

Cincinnati has wins over 6 FBS teams with winning records. (Rut., OSU, Fresno, USF, UConn and WVU)
Iowa has wins over 3 FBS teams with winning records. (Arizona, Penn St., and Wisconsin)
Penn State has wins over only 2 FBS teams with winning records. (Temple and Northwestern)
Every B10 team is ranked higher than their computer score. Every BE team is ranked lower than their computer score. (No bias in the media and coaches is there?)

The Big Ten was 1-2 vs. ND, while the BE was 2-0.

Last place Syracuse has won as many games against the Big Ten as it has won against the BE, one. Their 1 win against the Big Ten was against tied for 3rd place Northwestern.

The BE and Big Ten only played 4 games this year, with Syracuse having 3 of those. The record was 2-2 for both conferences. Obviously, both of the Big Ten's wins coming against the last placed BE team. And 1 of those wins needing overtime.

The first place Big Ten team (OSU) lost at home to the current tied for 3rd Pac 10 team. The current first place BE team (UC) won on the road at the current 2nd place Pac 10 team.

An last but not least here are the most recent unbiased Sagarin's College Football Ratings by conference. Notice how every human one (ESPN Power Rankings, SI Power Rankings) have the BE last and the B10 higher. Amazing how the data doesn't support it. No bias here is there???

CONFERENCE CENTRAL MEAN SIMPLE AVERAGE TEAMS

1 SOUTHEASTERN (A) = 80.84 81.11 ( 1) 12
2 PAC-10 (A) = 79.40 78.28 ( 2) 10
3 ATLANTIC COAST (A) = 76.39 76.26 ( 3) 12
4 BIG EAST (A) = 76.30 76.24 ( 4) 8
5 BIG 12 (A) = 74.88 75.28 ( 5) 12
6 BIG TEN (A) = 72.32 72.73 ( 6) 11
7 I-A INDEPENDENTS (A) = 70.00 68.60 ( 8) 3
8 MOUNTAIN WEST (A) = 68.58 69.48 ( 7) 9
9 WESTERN ATHLETIC (A) = 66.71 67.15 ( 9) 9
10 CONFERENCE USA (A) = 64.92 64.81 ( 10) 12
11 MID-AMERICAN (A) = 60.99 61.05 ( 11) 13